Weekend Warrior: Lee’s Transformation from a Tropical Storm to a Fierce Hurricane
Storm Watch: A Detailed Glimpse into the System’s Present Location and Predicted Hurricane
Tropical Storm Lee, with winds picking up and clouds swirling, is making its mark over 1,000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Remarkably, Lee stood out as the 13th storm of a particularly intense 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, coming into formation a full seven weeks ahead of the average date, which usually falls around October 25th.
Tropical Cyclone Climatology (noaa.gov)
Over the next several days, Lee is expected to take a west-northwest direction, travelling over warmer ocean waters with minimal wind disruptions. Although there’s dry air present ahead in the main development zone of the Atlantic, east of the Lesser Antilles, Lee’s developing core seems capable of shielding itself from this dry environment.
Taking into consideration the current favorable conditions for cyclonic strengthening, the renowned National Hurricane Center has provided a forecast. Their analysis suggests that the tropical storm Lee will elevate to hurricane status by the evening hours of Wednesday. Further, their models indicate a continued strengthening trajectory that could lead Lee to reach the formidable Category 4 status by this coming weekend.
Lee is forecasted to approach the longitude of the Lesser Antilles as a strong hurricane by this weekend.
Possible Impact on the Northern Leeward Islands with Hurricane?
The likely scenario suggests that Lee will move northward, causing only brief gusty winds and showers to the northern Leeward Islands. However, there’s still a chance it could take a southern route, bringing it closer or even directly over the islands, which would have more severe consequences.
Keep a close watch on this forecast. Be prepared with your hurricane plans, especially if the storm veers towards a southern route Attention Northern Lee wards, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico Residents.
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Factors will dictate Hurricane Lee’s direction next week
The Bermuda-Azores high, depending on its strength and expansiveness, serves as a pivotal navigator for tropical hurricanes. Picture this: if the Bermuda-Azores high is a tad weaker and not so big, we might just see the hurricane swing into the central Atlantic, giving the U.S. a breather!
For the safety and preparedness of the U.S. East Coast, it’s critical to monitor the high’s strength and westward expansion, as these factors could bring the system dangerously close next week.
Based on the consensus from the majority of recent computer model analyses, the likelihood of a “recurve” scenario is high for the upcoming week So, even if we’re looking at this “recurve” thing, Bermuda and some spots in Atlantic Canada shouldn’t get too comfy. Some weather drama might pop up coming week
Lee is anticipated to produce high surf, potent rip currents, and potential beach erosion along the Eastern Seaboard in the upcoming week. Additionally, The Bahamas and northern shores of islands like Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the northern Leeward Islands are also at risk.
Please be advised that hurricane predictions can vary. For the most recent information regarding this hurricane and the entire 2023 season, consult weather.com.
